WHAT'S UP? Joe's Exit, Donald's Entry.

From my chat with friends on Facebook.

PRESIDENT Biden and his loyal hawks are obviously escalating the war before Donald Trump sits. We don't know what the incoming POTUS will do because he is future tense, incoming. What is clear though is Joe intends to leave Donald a huge-ass mess or heightened fighting so his (T) campaign pledge to end this war faces huge roadblocks, probably prompting Congress to vote to keep military aid to Kyiv alive and active. 

      (A GOP majority Senate and House doesn't mean anti-war, regardless of Mr Trump or Elon/Vivek's advice to save taxpayer money for something else, such as purchase of more silicon from China, improvement of border security, and upgrade of FEMA funding).     

       Donald Trump's game is, as expected, unpredictable. In April 2017, he dropped MOABs in Afghanistan and Syria yet he u-turned or issued a dovish variation next. He built his trade leverage that way then carried on. Meanwhile, Russia clearly wants to end this war as it now affects its economy per military expenses mostly (irrelevant of BRICS bros China and India buying Gazprom's stuff). 

       Vladimir Putin already talked with Germany's Olaf Scholz right after November 5. The no brainer: Get Nord Stream 2 pipeline operating? Also, the EU needs to get its economy alive from 0.4 percent pace. But Vlad can't be bullied, not by hawkish lord Joe, so he responds to Mr Biden's new aggro military moves. 

       But even if a semblance of peace takes place in Ukraine as Donald sits, hawks are now instigating new tempests in Georgia. Same with the Middle East situation. New shakin’ and rattlin’ ensue each time some calm seems to find some moments. 

       Top Trump aide Elon Musk talked with Iran's new moderate leadership to pull back from responding to Israel, arms tete a tete. Not good. Tehran hasn't recovered yet since pandemic or before pandemic due to sanctions; even after sanctions, the country is in economic agony.

       (China is Iran's top energy buyer. Elon apparently wants China's "good boy!" love so they more Mr Musk pacifies the Iranians, good. China isn't high on war.) 🏛🗽🏛

MENA wants to lessen or totally eradicate the "arms for oil" bilateral deal thingy with Washington and Brussels due to the obvious. Especially after the 2010's Arab Spring, the region wants lesser Western encroachment. And they are already rich. They just wanna do business and have some Western-styled fun as well.

       Meanwhile, China sank huge-ass FDIs in MENA as Egypt, UAE and Iran join BRICS. Trade is Trump's ball game. He has better chat lines to the Kremlin and MBS or Riyadh, de facto boss of the Arab League. But then here comes the hawks in Syria. 

       Makes me think. What power is actually behind Hamas, Hezbollah, Houthis, and "Syrian rebels," especially after they took out the Quds' chief Qasem Soleimani in 2020. Arms for oil gotta live? But then I refuse to ride the hate bandwagon versus Donald Trump. He isn't a god who could stop wars but his playbook is contrary to what Joe Biden implemented. I'd rather see what's up ahead with that than "predict" per anti-T subjectivity. 🏛🗽🏛