Trump. Wars. And today's geopolitics.

Responses to Facebook chats.

THE real deal is more complex than how we smart watchers see geopolitics. <>As what many believe, the Kremlin is not Donald Trump's lapdog or BFF. And Russia is not dumb or easily cowed, for that matter. Moscow has a different playbook than its BRICS buddy China. 

       Constant: NO Potus can dictate both giants. We are not in the 17th century. Not now that BRICS or China, Russia, India et al have wobbled the G7. 

       <>When a war has already escalated, it is harder to fix it or stop it than when it just started or before it started. Think of the Vietnam War and Afghanistan War. Of course the current wars escalated in Joe Biden's years. And the Afghanistan War got more complicated in the Barack Obama years. 

       <>Mr Trump is trying to negotiate an end to war via economic or trade deals after Russia and EU powers have already invested (via this war) in Ukraine's massive natural resources. All these powers need to agree who gets what and to what extent. Think of Kyiv's Naftogaz or resumption of Nord Stream 1 and 2 pipelines (to Europe) via the Baltic Sea etc. 

       <>Ukraine's wars have always been a power play between the U.S. and Russia. Think 2014 (Euromaidan) revolution although the alibi then was a proposed deal with the EU that ignited a national tempest. Presidency is always a bottleneck. Petro Poroshenko and Volodymyr Zelensky are US' boys; Victor Yanukovych was a Russia's dude. Yet Ukraine is more Russian than American (but must I rant about other U.S. proxy wars?) 

       And of course Mr Trump has a different albeit unorthodox, relatively dovish Washington policy than his predecessors. 

       <>Continuance of war means no election. Volo Zelensky stays in power. His offshore shit in the British Virgin Islands, Belize and Cyprus gets fatter; Zelenska's real estate in London stays. Yup, Mr Zelensky's Ukraine is a European dachshund. NATO justifies more money (because they have a war). Military brinkmanship or wars remain as the West's only way to control Eastern Europe's wealth, regardless of Mr Trump. Yup, regardless of China or BRICS. An idiotic timewarp mindset. ☮️☮️☮️